Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.826955 0.957669 1.099230 1.263541 1.448602 1.650171 1.885909
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.653197 0.838481 1.056822 1.331297 1.665145 2.055955 2.545806
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.527213 0.739905 1.009291 1.371240 1.839968 2.421152 3.190193
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.454314 0.688388 1.003564 1.451146 2.061201 2.853322 3.947321
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.374141 0.609618 0.945390 1.447160 2.163516 3.132746 4.522783
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.309208 0.539504 0.885907 1.428341 2.235864 3.369272 5.049688
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.259860 0.483575 0.837248 1.415351 2.309231 3.605716 5.585327
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.228455 0.450749 0.818256 1.442285 2.439779 3.928328 6.259431
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.200603 0.418909 0.795680 1.458983 2.552852 4.229010 6.915888
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.175846 0.388199 0.770309 1.466736 2.649736 4.508172 7.552857
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.158901 0.369248 0.762469 1.501970 2.791894 4.863624 8.323637
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.141084 0.345434 0.742457 1.512880 2.892508 5.157019 9.010702
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.118476 0.308122 0.693182 1.467353 2.895079 5.295844 9.466986
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.108657 0.296970 0.693316 1.513287 3.061451 5.715095 10.401559
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.098664 0.283591 0.687140 1.546137 3.206106 6.105410 11.308078
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.094181 0.282551 0.706337 1.630144 3.450092 6.678497 12.548072
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.082932 0.262514 0.682125 1.624039 3.523878 6.958084 13.301435
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.072098 0.241270 0.652230 1.602625 3.565625 7.181563 13.966728
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.063170 0.223237 0.627046 1.588048 3.618406 7.425860 14.677375
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.057884 0.214472 0.622544 1.617700 3.760885 7.840798 15.708540
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.052547 0.204411 0.613503 1.636101 3.881175 8.219741 16.690535
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.047312 0.193490 0.600790 1.644645 3.981089 8.564451 17.624068
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.043953 0.187919 0.601147 1.683524 4.147115 9.042851 18.822892